Taxes: The Basics of the Breaks

INTRODUCTION:
Every analysis in IMPLAN will give you tax results. However, often times analysts wish to to examine the effect of a tax break or tax incentive on their regional economy. Modeling tax changes falls under the category of socio-political impacts; therefore, the spending associated with it needs to be determined by the analyst before it can be modeled in IMPLAN.

DEFINITIONS:
Different tax breaks are offered across varying levels of government. Generally speaking, a tax break or tax incentive is a reduction in how much tax is owed. There are a few different names for these benefits. Investopedia does a great job of outlining these for us.

TAX CREDIT
Tax Credits are a dollar-for-dollar reduction in tax liability. Therefore, they are more favorable than a tax deduction. Examples: Child Tax Credit, Child and Dependent Care Credit, Earned Income Tax Credit, Low-Income Housing Tax Credit

TAX DEDUCTION
Tax Deductions subtract allowed expenses from gross income to reduce taxable income. Examples: Charitable Donation Deduction, Property Tax Deduction, Union Fees

TAX EXEMPTION
Tax Exemptions represent the elimination of a certain type of tax. Examples: Homestead Exemption, Nonprofit Tax-Exempt Status, Personal Exemption

KEY CONSIDERATIONS:
There are a few things to remember before diving into analyzing a change in taxes. First, IMPLAN data estimates for all components of Value Added (including Taxes on Production and Imports, less subsidies (TOPI) and Other Property Income (OPI)) come from state and county level data sources which are at least at the 3-digit NAICS level of detail. However, the distributions of these Value Added impacts (by component) amongst the types of tax are not Industry-specific. This means that portion of Output IMPLAN estimates an Industry spends on TOPI and OPI will be specific to that Industry, but the distribution of TOPI and OPI would be the same whether it was computers, tourism, tobacco, or forest products, regardless of differing tax rates between those industries. Logically, forest products or mining would have a higher proportion of severance taxes compared to computers or tobacco, but that level of detail does not show up in IMPLAN. It is up to the analyst to make adjustments as necessary.

Second, the tax impact report values are based on the existing relationships of the data found in the IMPLAN database. Taxes in IMPLAN are based on the collected and reported taxes by various units of government in the Data Year you are using. For example, if the Data Year you are using didn’t have a subsidy in the Industry you are analyzing and you know that there is now a subsidy, you will need to account for this.

Lastly, TOPI includes all direct government subsidies. If the subsidy in a particular industry is greater than the total taxes paid, the direct TOPI will be negative. For further information on this, please read The Curious Case of the Negative Tax.

If you want to learn more about tax breaks for individuals and households, visit the article Taxes: Individual Breaks. To learn more about tax breaks for Industries visit the article Taxes: Industrial Breaks.

Taxes: Where’s the Tax?

INTRODUCTION:
As any CPA will tell you, understanding taxes is a big job. Taxes vary by locality, special district, and state. There are also differences by Industry as some businesses are required to pay taxes specific to their work. This article outlines the basics of how taxes work in IMPLAN and what is included in each type of tax.

If you want to know where a specific tax exists in the IMPLAN data, choose a keyword and then use control + F and search for its name. Under each type you may see an entry for both “alcohol” and “liquor” to aid in searching. Note that a few types of taxes show up more than one area. For example, business motor vehicle taxes are located in TOPI while personal motor vehicle taxes are located in Personal Income Tax.

MODELING TAX CHANGES:
Every analysis in IMPLAN will give you tax results, however, specifically modeling tax impacts falls under the heading of socio-political impacts. Therefore in order to model a tax impact or change, the analyst needs to determine what the change to the economy would look like because of the tax impact/change. For more information, visit the article Taxes: The Basics of the Breaks.

KEY CONSIDERATIONS:
Tax Impact results are based on the collected and reported taxes within the region for the given data year. The categories within the Tax Impact Report correspond to the categories in the SAM. So, when you go Behind the i, you can look them all up.

The Tax Impact Report information simply provides more detail to IMPLAN’s economic impact estimates. Remember, tax results cannot be added to any summary or detailed results as they are already included as a portion of Output.

The data you have may just be more specific to your Industry than the estimates in IMPLAN. If you have exact information on your Direct Taxes, these should be used to replace IMPLAN’s Direct tax estimate. Then use IMPLAN’s Indirect and Induced tax estimates.

Taxes are levied at different levels of government. In IMPLAN, we can see the results at the following levels; State + Local, Federal, County, Sub County General, Sub County Special Districts, and State. Sub County General includes city and township governments. Sub County Special includes fire and public school districts.

TAXES ON PRODUCTION & IMPORTS NET OF SUBSIDIES (TOPI):
Taxes on Production & Imports net of Subsidies (TOPI) is one of the four components of Value Added. Because TOPI is net of subsidies, it can be negative for a given Industry in a given year if that Industry received more subsidies from the government than it paid out in these taxes in that year. I-O models by default treat TOPI as a leakage, meaning that any TOPI generated as part of an analysis will not generate any additional effects.

Taxes are Industry and geographically specific. However, the breakout by tax category (e.g., sales tax, property tax, etc.) is not Industry specific, due to raw data limitations. Also, there is no way within IMPLAN to know the break out of the components of each subset of tax (ie Sales Tax) into additional detail; the raw data we use do not have this level of detail.

The tax impact report splits the TOPI tax impacts into subcategories based on the picture of each region’s economy. IMPLAN does not have industry-specific taxes paid (other than total TOPI, which is industry-specific) so the distribution will be an all industry average.

Even if the tax is treated as an excise tax, rather than a traditional sales tax in a certain state, it will still show up in IMPLAN as a sales tax. You’ll notice that there is no excise tax category for State/Local Government in the tax impact report. For example, if a resort tax is charged on a per-unit basis (i.e., $ per hotel room) then it is technically an excise tax; however, in our data source, state and local excise taxes are lumped in with sales tax and will therefore show up as sales tax in the IMPLAN tax report.

TOPI does not include all taxes paid by an industry. For example, social insurance taxes are a part of Employee Compensation and profits taxes are part of OPI.

Property Taxes paid by Households on their primary residences are not displayed as a payment from Households but rather from the TOPI column. This is because Households pay these Property Taxes through Sector 449 – Owner-occupied dwellings. The property taxes shown as being paid by Households are for other big-ticket items such as boats and cars. Direct property taxes on construction impacts are not property taxes on the built structure itself – just on the construction companies’ properties. To get the building’s property taxes you have to run the operations phase.

TAXES INCLUDED IN TOPI
Type of Tax

Specific Taxes Included

Where Levied

Sales Tax

Alcohol, amusement, bed, cigarettes, consumption, cosmetic medical procedures, fuel, gallonage, gasoline, general sales, gross receipts, hotel, insurance premium, internet, local general, lodging, liquor, luxury, meals, occupancy, other selective, parimutuels, plastic surgery, public utilities, recycling, state general, sewer, ticket, tobacco, transfer, occupancy, resort, sin, turnover, use, utilities, waste management, value added (VAT), vanity tax, water

State, County, Sub County General, Sub County Special

Property Tax

Boats, business personal property, intangible property, machinery and equipment, property, real estate, school

State, County, Sub County General, Sub County Special

Motor Vehicle License

License fees – business, license plates, operators license – business, registration fees – business, vehicle license – business

State, County, Sub County General, Sub County Special

Severance Tax

Carbon dioxide, crude oil, natural gas, methane, severance, timber, uranium

State, County, Sub County General

Other Taxes

Alcoholic beverage license, amusements license, business license, business registration renewal, concession license, corporation license, documentary fee, documentary and stock transfer, fishing license, franchise tax, food and beverage license fees, hunting license, gun license, mortgage recording, Nonemployee Compensation (NEC), occupation and business license, other license, permit, public utility license, tourism license, stamp tax

State, Sub County General, Sub County Special

Special Assessments

Fee, fine, special assessment, toll

State, Sub County General, Sub County Special

Excise Tax

Air transportation, alcohol, biodiesel, cable, “Cadillac” tax (high-cost employer-sponsored health insurance), charitable hospitals for failure to meet the community health needs, cigarettes, cell phone, coal, crude oil windfall profit, development impact, diesel, fuel, environmental, gas-guzzler, gasoline, hazardous materials, health insurance, indoor tanning, inspection fee, insurance receipts, jewelry, liquor, medical devices, nuclear fuel, ozone-depleting chemicals, pharmaceutical, public utilities (electric, gas, phone), refunds (other than for alcohol and tobacco), satellite, tires, storage fee, soda, telephone, tobacco, trucks, windfall profit, wireless

Federal

Custom Duty

Custom duties, export tax, import tax, tariff

Federal

OTHER PROPERTY INCOME (OPI):
Other Property Income (OPI) represents gross operating surplus minus Proprietor Income. OPI includes consumption of fixed capital (CFC), corporate profits, and net business current transfer payments. It includes income derived from dividends, royalties, corporate profits, and interest income. Thus, OPI provides a source of income for households, businesses, and governments. The other key component of OPI is corporate profits tax.

Just like TOPI, I-O models by default treat OPI as a leakage, meaning that any OPI generated as part of an analysis will not generate any additional effects. This is because there is no assumption built into the model as to how, when, and where OPI will be spent.

TAXES INCLUDED IN OPI
Type of Tax

Specific Taxes Included

Where Levied

Corporate Profits

Corporate profits tax, corporate income tax, private enterprise tax, profits tax

Federal, State,
County, Sub
County General

SOCIAL INSURANCE TAXES:
Social Insurance taxes (commonly referred to as payroll taxes) are paid under Employee Compensation. Remember this is always a fully-loaded number so it should include all wages and benefits. They include both employee-paid and employer-paid portions and show up in the SAM and tax impact report as payments from the Employee Compensation column. All payroll taxes are paid at the place of employment; this is in contrast to personal taxes, which are discussed in the next section

TAXES INCLUDED IN SOCIAL INSURANCE
Type of Tax

Specific Taxes Included

Where Levied

Employee Contribution

Disability, Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), estimated payments, Federal Insurance Contributions Act (FICA), IRA rollover, Medicare, Medicaid, non-qualified health savings account distributions, Old Age Survivors and Disability Insurance (OASDI), pay-as-you earn (PAYE), pay-as-you-go (PAYG), penalty for underpayment of estimated tax, retirement early withdrawal penalty, surtax, Social Security, survivors, State Government Retirement

Federal, State, County

Employer Contribution

Disability, hospital, Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), Federal Insurance Contributions Act (FICA), Federal Unemployment Tax Act (FUTA), Medicaid, Medicare, Military medical, Old Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance (OASDI), payroll, pension, Social Security, State Government Retirement, Federal Insurance Contributions Act (FICA), State Unemployment Tax Act (SUTA), survivors, retirement, Unemployment, Workers’ Compensation

Federal, State, County

PERSONAL INCOME TAX:
Employees pay payroll tax on their Labor Income (EC + PI) and then pay personal income tax on their Household Income, which may include more than just employment-based income. Personal income taxes are also paid on other types of income (e.g., rental income, dividend income, interest income, capital gains, retirement income). The effective personal income tax rate in IMPLAN is basically a weighted average of the individual rates of all these types, depending on the amount of each paid in a given region in a given year.

In IMPLAN, all personal income tax is assumed to be paid at the place of residence; however, in the real world, the personal tax paid on wage income (which is part of what is withheld from an employee’s paycheck) is paid to the place of employment. This is true of state and local personal taxes on wage and salary income, which are levied based on where people work. 

TAXES INCLUDED IN PERSONAL INCOME TAX
Type of Tax

Specific Taxes Included

Where Levied

Motor Vehicle License

Cars – personal, motor vehicle – personal

State, County, Sub County General, Sub County Special

Other tax

Dog license, fishing license, hunting license, other personal license, pet license

State

Income Tax

Alternative Minimum, capital gain, dividend, income, individual income, interest income, Kiddie Tax (Tax on a Child’s Investment and Other Unearned Income), personal income, rental income, wage income, withholding

Federal, State, County, Sub County General, Sub County Special

Estate and Gift Tax

Death, estate, gift, inheritance

Federal

Airports: Preparing for Takeoff

DETAILS:
Economic impact analyses of airports are very popular. Venckus and Vaidas (2011) state the main reasons as to prevent an airport closing or relocation, to highlight the ramifications of service additions or cancellations, and to justify spatial expansion. [1]

OPERATIONS
There are two main IMPLAN Industries associated with airports. The first is Industry 414 – Air transportation. This Industry includes both passenger and cargo flights; even space travel. This Industry is the operations of the airlines and would be used for both current services and potential new services (like a new route being added). The second is Industry 420 – Scenic and sightseeing transportation and support activities for transportation. This Industry includes air traffic control, hangar rental, parking, and a few other associated services. Also keep in mind that not all employees working at the airport are employed by the airport. Transportation Security Administration employees are actually paid under the Federal Department of Homeland Security and would fall under Industry 546 – Employment and payroll of federal govt, non-military.

However, nothing is every that cut and dry, right? Along with the operations of the facility and the air transportation itself, there are often many other businesses affiliated with or connected to airports. There are usually retail tenants on-site, and sometimes rental car companies, hotels, flight schools, and military installments. None of these activities would be captured in Industries 414 or 420 so their operations would need to be modeled in addition to the operations of the airport.

The airport you want to examine might even have a large business associated with it like the 1.2M square foot Boeing aircraft assembly plant in Charleston, SC. [2] Again, this would have to be modeled separately from the airport operations.

CONSTRUCTION
As always, capital improvements need to be analyzed separately from operations. While construction projects may span multiple years, their impact is temporary, unlike ongoing airport operations that happen every year. New construction at airports falls under Industry 56 – Construction of other new nonresidential structures; ongoing upkeep falls under Industry 60 -Maintenance and repair construction of nonresidential structures.

VISITORS
It is a hard case to make that spending of visitors that flew into your region can be counted as part of the economic impact of the airport itself. If all visitor spending is included in an analysis, the assumption is that none of their spending would have occurred in the region but for the existence of the airport. If it weren’t for the airport, visitors would either travel via a different airport in the area, via a different means of transportation or not come at all. For individuals that would visit the region regardless of the airports existence, their spending impact on the region cannot be attributed to the airport. At the very least, a discount rate should be applied to the total visitor spending for air travelers into your region.

When analyzing a tourist event, you may want to include the cost that visitors had for their travel. IMPLAN recommends splitting airfare 50/50 between the origin city and destination city. Basically, half of the price of the ticket would be applied to your region of study. Note that dollars going to travel agents and corporate headquarters are included in the production function for Industry 414 so there is no need to model them separately.

Now, please put your tray table up, ensure your seat is in the upright and locked position, and fasten your seatbelt.

RELATED ARTICLES:
Tourism Spending

OTHER RESOURCES:
Federal Aviation Administration Data

South Carolina Aeronautics Commission Economic Impact Technical Report

SOURCES:
[1] Venckus, A., & Vaidas, G. (2011). A Few Remarks on Assessment of Airport’s Economic Impact. Economics & Management, 16, 437-440.

[2] South Carolina Aeronautics Commission. (2017). Economic Impact Technical Report. Retrieved January 2, 2020. Available: http://www.scaeronautics.com/download/2018_Economic_Impact_Technical_FinalReport.pdf.

The Output Equation – Differences by Industry

For every possible IMPLAN Region, all IMPLAN Industries have a unique Output Equation. IMPLAN collects data to determine the Output Equation for each Sector for each Region and Year available in IMPLAN in terms of dollars. The Output Equation, in dollars, is converted to percentages of Output such that the equation sums to 100%. The Output Equation in percentages determines how each Sector allocates Output when modeled via an Industry Event. How do these differences look in the Output equation?

DETAILS:
The formula for the Output equation is:

Output = Intermediate Expenditures + Employee Compensation + Proprietor Income +
Tax on Production and Imports + Other Property Income

We show this visually like this:

Output_Equation_Blue_Box.jpg

To take a look at how the Output equation is different, five different Industries at the US level for 2018 are shown.

INDUSTRY 4 – FRUIT FARMING
Output_Equation_Blue_Box_-_4_-_Fruit_farming.jpg

INDUSTRY 25 – SILVER ORE MINING
Output_Equation_Blue_Box_-_25_-_Silver_ore_mining.jpg

INDUSTRY 76 – CONFECTIONERY MANUFACTURING FROM PURCHASED CHOCOLATE
Output_Equation_Blue_Box_-_76_-_Confectionary_mfg.jpg

INDUSTRY 455 – LEGAL SERVICES
Output_Equation_Blue_Box_-_455_-_Legal_svcs.jpg

INDUSTRY 499 – INDEPENDENT ARTISTS, WRITERS, AND PERFORMERS
Output_Equation_Blue_Box_-_499_-_Independent_artists_writers_performers.jpg

Scanning these we can see differences across the Industries.

Industry

Intermediate Expenditures

Employee Compensation

Proprietor Income

TOPI

OPI

4 – Fruit farming

42%

16%

17%

0.01%

25%

25 – Silver ore mining

50%

23%

1%

5%

21%

76 – Confectionery manufacturing from purchased chocolate

77%

14%

1%

1%

7%

455 – Legal services

29%

36%

7%

5%

23%

499 – Independent artists, writers, and performers

15%

19%

52%

6%

9%

Fruit farming, mining, and manufacturing all have high percentages in Intermediate Expenditures. These Industries all need to purchase more inputs for production than other Industries like those that provide services. Of the five Industries selected, Legal services has the highest percentage of Output going toward Employee Compensation and anyone that has paid legal fees understands why this is the case. Independent artists, writers, and performers have the highest percentage going towards Proprietor Income. Of these five Industries, artists are the most likely to be self-employed.

Fruit farming also has a very tiny percentage in TOPI (likely due to subsidies). Fruit farming and Legal services both have higher relative percentages of their Output going to OPI.

So, as you can see, each Industry in IMPLAN has a unique Output equation. Each Region will also have a different Output equation for each Industry, so you can not only compare Industries in the same Region, but you can also compare how the Output equation differs for a single Industry in multiple regions.

Framing: When is the Impact Happening?

INTRODUCTION:
Dealing with years in IMPLAN can get tricky. Luckily, we have an article called Dollar Year & Data Year to help with your understanding as one of the first things you do have to answer the question of when your impact is happening – the Dollar Year of your impact.

DETAILS:
The Dollar Year on your impacts screen should be the year represented by the values in your Event. This is usually (but not always) the same as the year in which your Event occurred or is expected to occur. So, if you are modeling construction that will happen in 2021, the Dollar Year should be 2021.

Framing_When_-_Dollar_Year.jpg

Construction projects may take multiple years, so ensure that you spread your spending across years as appropriate. To model this, just create another Group and change the year to be the next one you need.

Framing_When_-_Dollar_Year_x2.jpg

You can model Events that happened in the past by changing your Dollar Year as well. The thing to remember is that the time when the money you are modeling hits the economy should be your Dollar Year.

Framing: Where is the Impact Occurring?

INTRODUCTION:
Where your impact is taking place is a pretty easy question to answer. However, you may want to talk about that impact at the local, regional, or state level as well. You may even want to look at how an Event in one Region impacts another Region.

DETAILS:
The Region you define determines the boundary for which estimated spending is captured as an effect to the Region. The spending that does not affect the Region you’ve defined (according to the model) are called leakages.

GEOGRAPHY LEVELS IN IMPLAN:
Regions can be accessed by clicking Regions via the IMPLAN Dashboard at app.implan.com. Once a Region has been built, it can also be selected via the Region field of a Group in the Impact Screen. Data about a Region can be accessed “behind the i” in the Regions screen once a Region is selected and built.

From the Regions screen, you can select a Region by typing the name of one of the following US geography levels in the Search field:

ZIP Codes
Congressional Districts
Counties
States
Country (United States)
You can also select States and Counties by clicking on them on the map. Toggle the map between State View and County View by using the map view dropdown at the bottom right-hand corner of the map shown below.

Framing_Where_-_Map_View.jpg

SINGLE & COMBINED REGIONS
You may want to look at a change in your county and how that affects your county. Pretty straightforward. In IMPLAN you can also combine smaller geographies to create a custom region. To do this, navigate to your Regions screen and click on or type in the names of all of the geographies you want to combine into one new combined region.

Framing_Where_-_Map_Combo.jpg

Next, click on the Advanced Options in the upper right corner of your screen just above your first listed Region.

Framing_Where_-_Map_Arrow.jpg

A new box will pop up prompting you to give your combined region a name. If you want to use this same combination in the future, give it a logical name that you will remember as IMPLAN will save all of your combined regions for you.

Framing_Where_-_Name_Combo.jpg

Click SAVE and IMPLAN will start building your new combined Region for you. When the teal icon shown below appears, your new Region has been built and you are ready to input your Events.

Framing_Where_-_Combo_Created.jpg

Be aware of aggregation bias – which stems from the loss of detail that occurs when you combine regions together to form a blended larger region.

FUNCTIONAL ECONOMIES
In addition to defining your analysis Region based on where the impact is taking place and where you want to measure the effect, it’s also important to consider the functional economy. A functional economy encompasses the major labor and production shed of the impact or contribution being modeled. This means that the region captures the local supply chain and areas in which employees are living and spending their income.

A functional economy has established economic networks and can support demand for labor as well as goods and services needed by both households and businesses. How long spending will circulate within an economy depends on the functionality of the economy. This is because there will be less leakage of spending in a more functional economy, relatively. Leakages of spending into other Regions occurs primarily due to imports of goods and services into your Region as well as non-resident employees (in-commuters) working in your Region. IMPLAN estimates these leakages for you based on your defined Region. You can adjust your commuting rate if you know specific information that you would like to model.

COMPARING & CONTRASTING
IMPLAN does have the ability to show you how the Event might look different if it were in Indiana or in Illinois. You can create one Event on your Impacts screen and drop it into both counties. Then on the Results screen, use your Filter to flip between the two geographies to see the differences.

Framing_Where_-_Same_Event_in_2_States.jpg

RESULTS ACROSS GEOGRAPHIES
You may want to look at how your event in Mecklenburg County, NC, but also how it will affect nearby Gaston County. This can be done using a feature in IMPLAN called Multi-Regional Input-Output Analysis (MRIO) which links Regions together. Remember, different stakeholders may be interested in the results at different geographies. MRIO will estimate the interregional linkages of trade and commuting effects across these different geographies.

Framing_Where_-_MRIO_Button.jpg

Framing: What is the Value of the Change?

INTRODUCTION:
Selecting the value of the change you want to model is fairly straightforward. It is simply the total dollars or employment you want to model; which will be entered as the Event Value in IMPLAN. Your analysis may have only one value or may be made up of a combination of many values. The what of your analysis will inform the definition of your Event Value(s).

Event Type

Event Specification

Event Value

Industry [Impact] Events

Sector experiencing change in demand/production

1 or more:
Output
Employment
Employee Compensation
Proprietor Income

Industry Contribution Events

Sector for which the contribution is being measured

Output or % of Industry

Commodity Output Events

Commodity experiencing change in demand/production

Output

Labor Income Events

Employee Compensation

Employee Compensation

Proprietor Income

Proprietor Income

Household Income Events

Households LT15K
Households 15-30K
Households 30-40K
Households 40-50K
Households 50-70K
Households 70-100K
Households 100-150K
Households 150-200K
Households GT200K

Total Household Income for specified Income Group

Industry Spending Pattern

Sector making purchases of Intermediate Expenditures

Intermediate Expenditures or Output According to Selection in Advanced Menu

Institution Spending Pattern

Fed. Govt. NonDefense
Fed. Govt. Defense
Fed. Govt. Investment
State/Local Govt. NonEducation
State/Local Govt. Education
State/Local Govt. Investment
Capital
Inventory Additions/Deletions

Total Spending on Goods, Services and Labor

INDUSTRY EVENTS:
When one or more of the following values are known about the change in an industry’s production or expenditures: Output (production value), Employment, Employee Compensation (wages and benefits), or Proprietor Income, these values can all be modeled through the Industry Events. If you want to model an increase of $1 million in Output, the $1 million answers what the value of the change is.

Many times, you will have more than one value for your Event. Perhaps you were given both $500,000 in Employee Compensation for 6 employees. It is best to use all of the detailed data that you have in the model. By choosing an Industry Event, clicking on the Options button and selecting the Advanced Menu, you can input the additional details, in this case 6 employees.

Framing_What_-_Advanced_Menu.jpg

It is important that your what, or the change occurring, is specifically the change occurring in your Region of study (where).

For retail and wholesale sectors, The Margins section will become available for selecting Total Revenue or Marginal Revenue. Its very important to indicate to IMPLAN whether your retail/wholesale Output is the Total or Marginal Revenue of retailer or wholesaler. Read on about Total Revenue vs. Marginal Revenue.

INDUSTRY CONTRIBUTION EVENTS:
In the case of Industry Contribution Events, the what should be defined as the amount of Industry Output for which you’d like to estimate the contribution, or the portion of the Industry for which you’d like to estimate the contribution. An amount of Industry Output can be entered when the radio button on the Industry Contribution Event is set to the dollar sign. An Industry portion can be entered when the radio button is set to the percent sign. When the percent option is used, the entered portion will be taken from the existing production levels (Output, Employment, etc.) for the Industry specified within Region and Data Year which can be found in Region Details > Study Area Data > Industry Details. Be sure to enter portions as a decimal (for example, if you’d like to estimate the contribution of half of an industry enter .5).

Framing_What_-_Contribution.jpg

COMMODITY EVENTS:
Commodity Output Events are more appropriate than Industry Events when the producing Industry, place of production, and time of production are unknown. Commodity Events are also recommended when Margins are applicable and the item purchased is known.

There is only one Event Value that can be provided in a Commodity Event: Commodity Output. In the case of Commodity Events, the what should be defined as the change in demand for the given Commodity. IMPLAN applies the Commodity’s Market Shares to this Commodity Output number.

There is the additional option of defining the Local Purchase Percentage (LPP) of the Commodity in a Commodity Output Event by clicking on the Options button and selecting the Advanced Menu. You have three options for setting your LPP:

Leave LPP at 100% if you know the change in demand for the Commodity is met totally by local production of the Commodity
Set LPP to SAM by checking the SAM checkbox if you don’t know where the Commodity demand will be met. For example, you may be using a Commodity Output Event to estimate the impact of new demand for electricity by businesses and households in a developing Region. If the place of production of electricity is unknown, you can set LPP to SAM. This will use the average Regional Purchase Coefficient for electricity in the Region, which indicates the portion of demand for electricity that is met within the Region (in the Data Year being used).
Set LPP to your known LPP if you know what portion of the Commodity Output will be coming from the within Region.

Framing_What_-_Commodity.jpg

Margins are applicable to Commodities that are goods that can be purchased via a retailer or wholesaler. Similar considerations apply when choosing between Total Revenue and Marginal Revenue for a Commodity Event as when making this selection for a retail/wholesale Industry Event, but the implication of the choice is quite different. Read on about Total Revenue vs. Marginal Revenue.

LABOR INCOME EVENTS:
When Labor Income Events are used, there are only two specification options (as listed on the table at the beginning of this article) which are Employee Compensation or Proprietor Income. When using a Labor Income Event the Event Value (what) should be defined as the total value of the type of new income specified that you’d like to analyze.

HOUSEHOLD INCOME EVENTS:
When Household Income Events are used, there are nine household income groups to choose from when defining your specification. The Event Value or what in this case should be the total new household income within the household income group specified that you’d like to analyze.

INDUSTRY SPENDING PATTERN EVENTS:
When Industry Spending Patterns are used the Event Value or what could either be Total Output or Intermediate Expenditures. By default the Event Value will be assumed to be Intermediate Expenditures used you open the Advanced Menu by clicking into it via the Options button.

Framing_What_-_Ind_Spending_Pattern.jpg

Regardless of which is selected, IMPLAN will only estimate the effect of Intermediate Expenditures spent on the Commodities included in the Spending Pattern. If Total Output is selected, IMPLAN will first calculate Intermediate Expenditures by multiplying the Event Value by the Total Gross Absorption of the Sector for the Region, which can be found in Region Details > Social Accounts > Balance Sheets > Industry Balance Sheet > Commodity Demand, then filter by the Sector of interest and see the Gross Absorption column total.

INSTITUTIONAL SPENDING PATTERNS:
When Institutional Spending Patterns are used the Event Value or what should be defined as Total Spending on Goods, Services, AND Labor. Institutional Spending Patterns differ from Industry Spending Pattern in that they do include labor.

Framing: Who is Being Impacted?

INTRODUCTION:
The first question to think through when preparing your analysis is who is being impacted. The “who” of an analysis is the entity experiencing the initial change or economic activity you’d like to analyze. Keep in mind, IMPLAN is designed to estimate backward linkages, preparing your analysis determines the starting point.

Answering the “who” question will inform the definition of your Event Type and Specification in IMPLAN.

INDUSTRY & COMMODITY EVENTS:
When an Industry is experiencing the initial economic activity being analyzed, the question of who is answered by choosing one or more Industry Sectors. There are four different Event Types for analyzing a change in production in a given Industry: Industry Output, Industry Employment, Industry Employee Compensation, and Industry Proprietor Income. If you only have one Industry Event Value, simply select 1 of the 4 Industry Event Types based on the value you have.

Your analysis can include more than one of these Event Values. For example, you might want to look at a change in crop production and associated manufacturing.

When you have more than one Event Value, we recommend choosing your Event Type based on the chart below. Your Industry Event Values will be processing based on this prioritization of Event Values regardless of the Type you select:

Industry [Impact] Event Type

When to Use

Industry Output Events

When Output is known

Industry Employment Events

When only Employment is known

Industry Employee Compensation

When Employee Compensation is known, but Output is unknown

Industry Proprietor Income

When Proprietor Income is known, but Output and Employee Compensation are unknown

Once you’ve picked your Event Type, you’ll be able to pick the Industry that best represents the “who” of your analysis. For example, if you want to look at an increase in production for a local car assembly plant, you would choose Sector 340 – Automobile manufacturing.

To analyze the contribution of existing production or spending an Industry Contribution Event may be appropriate. Who is still answered by choosing one or more Industry Sectors.

To analyze the change in production or spending on a Commodity, who is answered in the Commodity Output Event with the appropriate Commodity. If you want to look at an increase in the production of cars in your region, choose Commodity 3340 – Automobiles. This is because although the cars will primarily be produced by Industry 340, adjacent Industries may also produce some cars in addition to their primary products.

LABOR & HOUSEHOLD INCOME EVENTS:
Maybe the who you want to affect is actually individuals. If these individuals are producing something and you know the Industry and associated Employment, Employee Compensation, or Proprietor Income, this should be modeled through an Industry Event. However, sometimes we don’t know what Industry is being affected or there isn’t an Industry being directly affected at all. A few examples of when an industry may not be directly affected by a change in spending by individuals include minimum wage increases, personal tax changes, or an increase in population of individuals who do not work in the Region (perhaps retirees or commuters).

Using a Labor Income Event allows you to choose either Employee Compensation or Proprietor Income to model changes in spending, without specifying a particular Industry.

A Household Income Event allows you to choose what income group would see a change in spending. Again, this is not associated with a specific Industry. This is helpful when you want to model an Event like a subsidy to a particular group of earners, for example households that make less than $15,000 per year.

Note that Labor Income and Household Income Events do not include Direct Effects as these Event Types are only modeling the spending of households without an associated Industry or Commodity.

INDUSTRY SPENDING PATTERNS EVENTS:
Spending Patterns measure the business to business backward linkages or supply chain effects of the Industry. Industry Spending Pattern Events are best used when modifications to an Industry’s Production Function are necessary that cannot be made with a standard Industry Event. When detailed information is known about the specific Industry’s spending, a Spending Pattern Event can be adjusted to reflect the specific purchases or ratios of purchases. Industry Spending Patterns include all Intermediate Expenditures for a given Industry. Note that Industry Spending Pattern Events also do not include Direct Effects.

INSTITUTIONAL SPENDING PATTERNS EVENTS:
Institutional Spending Pattern Events are most appropriate when an analyst would like to model the effect of a fiscal spending change. This is only at a high level as the specification options for Institutional Spending Pattern are general government entities rather than specific government programs. Other Event Types are more appropriate when the analyst knows more specifically how the government may be changing their spending. Unlike Industry Spending Patterns, Institutional Spending Patterns include payroll expenditures for employees. Institutional Spending Pattern Events do yield a Direct Effect.

EVENT TYPES & WHEN TO USE THEM:
So here’s the basics of each Event Type and when to use them:

Event Type

When to Use

Industry [Impact] Events

Modeling change in an industry’s production/spending on the industry

Industry Contribution Events

Estimating effect of an existing industry’s production

Commodity Output Events

Modeling change in a commodity’s production or spending on the commodity

Labor Income Events

Modeling change in labor payments isolated from an industry’s production

Household Income Events

Modeling a change in household income isolated from an industry’s production

Industry Spending Pattern

Customizing an industry’s purchases or the amount an industry spends on inputs is necessary.

Institution Spending Pattern

Modeling general fiscal spending changes

Picking an Industry

INTRODUCTION:
IMPLAN has 546 different Industries to choose from when running your economic impact. But how do you choose which one is right for your study? Here is the guide to everything you need to know about IMPLAN Industries!

IMPLAN INDUSTRIES:
IMPLAN Industries consist of 546 different codes and names. IMPLAN Industries can be grouped into the following categories:

1-19 are Agriculture
20-38 are Mining, Minerals, and Oil
39-49 are Utilities
50-62 are Construction
63-391 are Manufacturing
392-413 are Wholesale and Retail
414-421 Transport Related
422-525 Services
526-534 Government Enterprises
535-538 are Commodity-Only Sectors
539-546 captures payroll and employment for different types of government
Industries 1-534 are all private industries and government enterprises that have been aggregated by similarity in input purchasing patterns. While they are all comparable, each IMPLAN Industry has its own production function and spending patterns. Picking the right Industry is important. Running $1M through Industry 195 – Rubber and plastics hoses and belting manufacturing will yield different results than running that same $1M through Industry 196 – Other rubber product manufacturing.

BUT HOW DO I CHOOSE ONE?
If you are looking at oranges in Florida, Industry 4 – Fruit Farming is going to be the one. Often times, it is just that easy; use the list of 546 Industries and pick which one fits your analysis.

Sometimes selecting which IMPLAN Industry to use is a little trickier. What if you want to know what IMPLAN Industry to assign for a company that makes cash registers? A quick scan through the list of 546 Industries won’t help much. So IMPLAN Economists put together a bridge from NAICS Codes to IMPLAN Industries to help. Using this document, you can search the detailed NAICS Codes by keywords like “cash register.” Doing this leads you to NAICS 333318 – Other Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing which corresponds to IMPLAN Industry 272 – Other commercial service industry machinery manufacturing. Using this method, you can also see what other things fall under this Industry. Industry 272 also includes vending machines and voting machines, for example.

Alternatively, you can search the NAICS website to find which 6-digit NAICS Code best fits your needs. Then, you can use the NAICS Codes to IMPLAN bridge to find the corresponding IMPLAN Industry.

NAICS CODES:
The industry classifications for all establishments covered by the economic census and surveys are based on the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). NAICS Codes are a system by which all Industries are classified across Canada, Mexico, and the United States. They consist of Industries made up of firms with similar patterns. The IRS requires that businesses report their Principal Business Activity Code on their federal tax return. The IRS business activity codes are based on the NAICS and this is how the government has data based on these codes. NAICS is scheduled to be reviewed for potential revisions every 5 years so that the classification system can keep pace with the changing economy; the most recent revision was in 2017.

Industries in IMPLAN are all classified based on NAICS Codes, with two exceptions. Construction Industries are based on the Census Structure Type descriptions. Additionally, the Industries that start with an asterisk (IMPLAN Industries 535-546) are not based on NAICS because these Sectors do not make any purchases.

BEA INPUT-OUTPUT ACCOUNTS:
So if there are almost a thousand NAICS Codes, why are there only 546 IMPLAN Industries? Well, the answer lies with the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s Input-Output Accounts. The BEA’s benchmark Input-Output (I-O) accounts provide the most detailed information available on the structure of the U.S. economy and its industries. Benchmark I-O accounts are prepared at 5-year intervals and are based on detailed data from economic censuses conducted every 5 years by the Bureau of the Census; the most recent Industry and Commodity data is from 2012.

The BEA data contains details on 405 Industries. IMPLAN Economists augment this using input from industry experts. So you may notice a few places where the BEA data is less aggregated than the IMPLAN data.

Getting Started

INTRODUCTION:
Now that you have the information to run your first impact from this article, you are ready to jump into app.implan.com!

Before you can log in to IMPLAN, you must first have valid and active credentials. Valid IMPLAN credentials consist of two components: a username and a password, both of which are exclusive to each individual user. To acquire a username and password, you must first have an active IMPLAN data subscription. To purchase a data subscription, contact us directly at 800-507-9426 or sales@implan.com.

LOGGING IN:
The process begins at the login screen. This is where you will enter your email address and password. Then, click the LOG IN button. If you’ve logged in in the past, you can just click on your email address and you will be directed straight into IMPLAN.

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To change your password, click on the text “Not your account?” and then click “Change or reset password.”

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Upon doing so, you’ll arrive at the Password Reset screen. Click into the empty field that says “yours@example.com” and enter your email address. Click SEND EMAIL. Upon doing so, you’ll return to the Login screen and a message that says “WE’VE JUST SENT YOU AN EMAIL TO RESET YOUR PASSWORD” will appear. Back in your email inbox, you’ll find a new email message from support@IMPLAN.com. Click on the link in the email and you will be prompted to create and confirm a new password. If you don’t see an email from us, check your spam folder.

Once you log in, you will be directed to the IMPLAN dashboard. Here you will find the REGIONS, IMPACTS, and PROJECTS buttons. Throughout the process, you can always click the IMPLAN logo in the upper left to return to this screen.

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SELECTING A REGION:
Next, we will look at the process of selecting a Region in IMPLAN. The procedure begins at the IMPLAN Dashboard and ends at the IMPACTS screen.

IMPLAN needs to know the specific regional economy in which your study’s real-life event will occur. So, every time you conduct an impact analysis with IMPLAN, you’ll need to tell it where your study’s event will take place by selecting a Region. Thankfully, IMPLAN makes this extremely easy to do by offering a large interactive map which lets you complete the process visually.

Start by clicking REGIONS from your home screen. This will take you to the map of the U.S.

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You can select your Region by either clicking on the appropriate place on the map or using the search bar in the upper left of the screen. In the search bar you can type in U.S. Total or the names of states, counties, MSAs, zip codes, or congressional districts. When you have selected a Region, it will become a darker shade of blue on the map and the Region name, Data Year and basic data will populate on the right side of the screen in the Selected Region section.

Next, click the CREATE IMPACT button.

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This will create a popup that will prompt you to give your new project a name. Remember to make it easy to understand what you are modeling. Next, hit SAVE.

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After saving, you will be redirected to the IMPACTS screen.

CREATING AN EVENT:
Now we are on the IMPACTS screen and ready to input our data! An Event is arguably the most important element of any impact analysis performed with IMPLAN. When estimating the effects of an economic activity, IMPLAN relies on Events to communicate the unique quantitative characteristics of that activity.

IMPLAN can calculate impact results using as few as just one data point. However, the less you tell IMPLAN about a given event, the less it knows. And the less it knows, the more it has to assume. And the more it has to assume, the less reliable its results can ultimately be in providing insights. So, it’s always best to provide IMPLAN with as much information about your Event as you possibly can if you want the most valuable results possible in return.

To begin, click Add New Event.

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Upon doing so, a box of editable fields will appear.

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In this box, you will first enter a title. Make it something memorable and explanatory so you can keep track of your different Events. After naming your new Event, click into the Type menu and select an Event Type from its dropdown list. You can choose from Industry, Commodity, Labor Income, Household Income, Contribution, Industry Spending Pattern, and Institutional Spending Pattern. The differences between the Event Types can be found here. The most basic and frequently used are the Industry Events (Output, Employment, Employee Compensation, and Proprietor Income).

After selecting a Type, click into the Specification menu and select from the dropdown list. The options available will vary depending on which Event Type you selected from the Type menu. Industry Events will give you a list of the 546 Industries from which you can choose. If you know the name of the Sector you want to use, you can start typing it directly into the Specification box.

After selecting a Specification, click into the Value field and enter your data point. If you choose an Industry Employment Event, for example, your Value would be the total employment you want to analyze. The options menu button on the right of the Value field can be accessed to allow for further customization, duplication or deletion of the Event.

To move your Event into your Group, click on the Event line until it turns blue. Then you can drag it (while holding the click) over to the right side of the screen into your Group. When your Group turns blue, drop the Event by releasing the click.

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Notice when you add your Event to the Group on the right, the little circle in the upper right of the North Carolina Group box changes from a 0 to a 1. This indicates how many Events are in this Group. You can drag multiple Events into a single Group.

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You can also add new Groups from this screen by clicking on “Add New Group.” You will need to give your new Group a title and Select the Region for the blank drop-down menu. Because you can add any Region available to you from the Region field of a Group, this gives you the alternative path of starting your Project directly from the IMPACTS screen when you do not need to access additional features and data available in the REGIONS screen. The Dollar Year will default to the current calendar year and the Data Year will default to the most current year of data available in IMPLAN. You can use the options menu icon to Scale, Duplicate, or Remove Groups.

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Now that you have your Event all set up in your Group, you are ready to hit RUN! IMPLAN will show how many iterations are Queued, In Progress, and Ready in the box in the lower right corner of your screen. When your analysis is finished, VIEW RESULTS will appear in the lower right. When you click VIEW RESULTS, you will automatically be taken to the RESULTS screen.

EXAMINING YOUR RESULTS:
Your RESULTS screen will default to the Impact Results Overview as shown. You will see the Economic Indicators by Impact, Tax Results, and Top 5 graphs. Scrolling down on the page you will see the Top 15 Industries by Estimated Growth Percentage and a table of Industries by Estimated Growth Percentage.

IMPLAN will default to showing you Results for every Region, Group and Event in the current calendar year Dollar Year. You can change what you see by clicking on FILTERS.

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You can also dig deeper into the Output, Employment, Value Added, and Tax Results by clicking on the ribbon menu along the top of the screen.

You can see from these results, the economic impact of 1,000 new employees working in Sector 101 – Mayonnaise, dressing, and sauce manufacturing will have a total effect of 2,742.55 jobs, $117.9M in Labor Income, $207.8M in Value Added, and $841.47 in Output in North Carolina in 2019.